2024 Draft Value Challenge

Discussion in 'NFL Draft' started by LAOJoe, Apr 22, 2024.

  1. LAOJoe Assistant Coach Manager Patreon Silver Maple Leafs Eagles





    PLEASE PM ENTRIES TO @LAOJoe WITH THE CHALLENGE IN THE TITLE OR POST THEM HERE IF YOU DON'T CARE FOR SECRECY. YOU HAVE UNTIL ONE HOUR BEFORE THE DRAFT TO SUBMIT YOUR PICKS.

    We use the results of the Collaborative Mock Draft as the starting point. The entire mock is here:
    2024 Collaborative Mock Draft

    We each choose players we think would be taken earlier, later or around the same spot in the real draft compared to our "official" mock. You get points depending on what happens.

    We each pick 2 players per round who we think will get drafted higher and 2 we think would get drafted lower. We also choose 1 guy per round we think is closest to their exact spot.
    We also predict 2 UDFAs who were picked that would actually get drafted and 2 guys entirely not selected. EXAMPLE of Picks at the bottom. The nature of the scoring could see the winner emerge with a negative score.

    The extreme values are almost impossible to get but they can make or break you.
    A full round means the same spot or greater in the next/previous round and NOT necessarily 32 picks.


    Risers/Fallers
    200+ = 60 points Faller/70 Riser
    175-199 = 50 points Faller/60 Riser
    150-174 = 45 points Faller/50 Riser
    125-149 = 35 points Faller/45 Riser
    100-125 = 30 points Faller/40 Riser
    64-99 = 20 points Faller/30 Riser
    32-63 = 15 points Faller/20 Riser
    16-31 = 10 points Faller/15 Riser
    2-15 = points equal to spot difference divided by 2
    1 = 1 point
    0=0 points

    If your faller pick is actually a riser you:
    lose 5 points +0.5 points for every spot.
    Maximum of -25 points.

    If your riser pick is actually a faller you:
    lose 5 points +0.5 points for every spot.
    If he goes undrafted you lose an extra 10.
    Maximum of -35 points; -40 if undrafted.

    Extra Rule: Mispicking an undrafted player from this mock to be drafted will give you -15.
    Extra Rule: Correctly picking an undrafted player from this mock to be drafted gives you 10 points plus 10 points for every 32 picks away from an imaginary extra pick after Mr. Irrelevant.
    Extra Rule: Any undrafted player IRL will be designated the pick after Mr. Irrelevant for calculating how many points positive or negative are to be calculated.

    Closest to actual pick
    margin of error:
    0= 60 points (30 points in Round 1)
    +/-1= 35 Points (25 points in Round 1, 40 points in Rounds 4+)
    +/-2= 20 points (30 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-3= 15 points (25 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-4= 10 points (15 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-5= 7 points (10 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-6= 5 points (9 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-7= 3 points (8 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-8= 2 points (7 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-9= 1 points (6 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-10= 0 points (5 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-11= -1 points (4 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-12= -2 points (3 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-13= -3 points (2 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-14= -4 points (1 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-15= -5 points (0 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-16-31= -10 points (-5 points Rounds 4+)
    +/-32-63= -15 points
    +/-64-99= -25 points
    +/-100+= -35 points
    If your player goes undrafted you lose an extra 10 points.
    ALSO in the 7th round you can only lose a maximum of 10 points if your guy is actually drafted AFTER his prediction. You can still lose more if he gets drafted earlier.

    EXTRA: A correctly undrafted guy gives you 20 points. If you guess wrong you lose 10 points.

    EXTRA: YOU CANNOT PICK THE FIRST 7 PLAYERS DRAFTED FOR THE EXACT SPOT!!





    HERE IS AN EXAMPLE OF PICKS USING THE MOCK RESULTS FROM THE 7TH ANNUAL MOCK. NOTE THAT THE PICK POSITIONS ARE WHERE WE MOCKED THEM.
    Drafted Higher:
    1(9) Joey Bosa
    1(29) Ryan Kelly
    2(6) Robert Nkemdiche
    2(21) Hunter Henry
    3(18) Deion Jones
    3(30) Sean Davis
    4(7) Bronson Kaufusi
    4(29) James Bradberry
    5(1) Kevin Byard
    5(11) Nick Kwiatkowski
    6(28) Jacoby Brissett
    6(29) Parker Ehinger
    7(7) Glenn Gronkowski
    7(2) Tajae Sharpe
    UDFA. DT Vincent Valentine
    UDFA. CB Brandon Williams
    Completely Ignored. WR Tyreek Hill
    Completely Ignored. P Drew Kaser

    Drafted Lower:
    1(13) Reggie Ragland
    1(31) Noah Spence
    2(11) Cody Whitehair
    2(13) Kendall Fuller
    3(12) Jerald Hawkins
    3(21) Charone Peake
    4(20) Alex McAllister
    4(35) Sebastian Tretola
    5(6) D.J. White
    5(29) Will Monday
    6(20) Michael Jordan
    6(21) Joel Heath
    7(13) Mike Matthews
    7(19) Tre Madden

    Drafted Correctly:
    1(23) Josh Doctson
    2(16) Chris Jones
    3(10) Pharoh Cooper
    4(36) Joe Schobert
    5(8) Matt Ioannidis
    6(16) Keith Marshall
    7(11) Brandon Allen
    UDFA. De'Runnya Wilson (i.e. selected as an UDFA here and correctly predicted not drafted.)

    We hope all of you mock GM's participate. Anyone is welcome. It's fun to see how things end up. Any remaining questions, just PM RTTRUTH or LAOJoe for answers.

    You can copy paste this and use it as your starting point
    Drafted Higher:
    1()
    1()
    2()
    2()
    3()
    3()
    4()
    4()
    5()
    5()
    6()
    6()
    7()
    7()
    UDFA.
    UDFA.
    Completely Ignored.
    Completely Ignored.

    Drafted Lower:
    1()
    1()
    2()
    2()
    3()
    3()
    4()
    4()
    5()
    5()
    6()
    6()
    7()
    7()

    Drafted Correctly:
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    UDFA
     
    Last edited: Apr 26, 2024
  2. LAOJoe Assistant Coach Manager Patreon Silver Maple Leafs Eagles

    Drafted Higher:
    1(21) Taliese Fuaga
    1(22) J.C. Latham
    2(25) Bo Nix
    2(26) Marshawn Kneeland
    3(17) Roger Rosengarten
    3(20) Ruke Orhorhoro
    4(4) Bralen Trice
    4(28) Mason McCormick
    5(26) Jaylin Simpson
    5(41) Sione Vaki
    6(27) Layden Robinson
    6(32) Walter Rouse
    7(5) Jaylan Ford
    7(11) K.T. Leveston
    UDFA. Chau Smith-Wade
    UDFA. Chigozie Anusiem
    Completely Ignored. Grayson Murphy
    Completely Ignored. Shon Stephens

    Drafted Lower:
    1(9) Michael Penix Jr.
    1(31) Kamari Lassiter
    2(8) Roman Wilson
    2(6) Ricky Pearsall
    3(30) Jordan Travis
    3(33) Fabien Lovett
    4(30) Isaiah Williams
    4(34) Jaylon Carlies
    5(14) Myles Harden
    5(32) Emani Bailey
    6(39) Michael Hiers
    6(42) Joe Evans
    7(4) Jase McClellan
    7(20) Geoff Cantin-Arku

    Drafted Correctly:
    1(8) Malik Nabers
    2(10) Braden Fiske
    3(27) Austin Booker
    4(26) Zak Zinter
    5(33) Delmar Glaze
    6(21) Brennan Jackson
    7(16) Xavier Weaver
    UDFA James Cahoon
     
    Last edited: Apr 25, 2024
    StlCrtn likes this.
  3. RTTRUTH Legend Manager Colts

    Drafted Higher:
    1(22) JC Latham
    1(29) Jer’Zhan Newton
    2() Marshawn Kneeland
    2(28) Christian Haynes
    3(11) Adisa Isaac
    3(17) Roger Rosengarten
    4(4) Bralen Trice
    4(12) Cam Hart
    5(4) Renardo Green
    5(28) Josh Newton
    6 (8) Kalen King
    6 (27) Layden Robinson
    7(5) Jaylan Ford
    7(17) Erick All
    UDFA. Tory Taylor
    UDFA. Chau Smith-Wade
    Completely Ignored. Deantre Prince
    Completely Ignored. Johnny Dixon

    Drafted Lower:
    1(9) Michael Penix
    1(31) Kamari Lassiter
    2(1) Payton Wilson
    2(8) Roman Wilson
    3(7) Burton
    3(30) Travis
    4(13) Myles Cole
    4(35) Glover
    5(1) Nugent
    5(32) Emani Bailey
    6(28) Rasheen Ali
    6(39) Hiers
    7(6) Storm Duck
    7(8) Chris Edmonds

    Drafted Correctly:
    1 (12) Byron Murphy
    2 (24) Jonathon Brooks
    3 (8) Dominic Puni
    4 (10) Audric Estime
    5 (13) Justin Eboigbe
    6 (18) Logan Lee *
    7 (15) Evan Anderson
    UDFA James Cohoon
     
    Last edited: Apr 25, 2024
    StlCrtn likes this.
  4. StlCrtn Franchise Player Steelers

    Drafted Higher:
    1()
    1()
    2()
    2()
    3()
    3()
    4()
    4()
    5()
    5()
    6()
    6()
    7()
    7()
    UDFA.
    UDFA.
    Completely Ignored.
    Completely Ignored.

    Drafted Lower:
    1()
    1()
    2()
    2()
    3()
    3()
    4()
    4()
    5()
    5()
    6()
    6()
    7()
    7()

    Drafted Correctly:
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    UDFA
     
    RTTRUTH likes this.
  5. Bowesrbroncos13 Draft Eligible

    Saved spot
     
    StlCrtn likes this.
  6. Campbell Administrator Manager Commissioner

    Reserving the right to make changes until shop closes...

    Drafted Higher:
    1(21)Taliese Fuaga
    1(22)J.C. Latham
    2(25)Bo Nix
    2(29)TJ Tampa
    3(20)Ruke Orhorhoro
    3(22)Andru Phillips
    4(4)Bralen Trice
    4(16)Marshawn Lloyd
    5(3)Javon Foster
    5(17)Caelen Carson
    6(9)Christian Jones
    6(38)M.J. Devonshire
    7(11)KT Leveston
    7(17)Erick All
    UDFA. Julian Pearl
    UDFA. Devaugh Vele
    Completely Ignored Omar Speights
    Completely Ignored Amari Gainer

    Drafted Lower:
    1(13)Olumuyiwa Fashanu
    1(31)Kamari Lassiter
    2(1)Payton Wilson
    2(32)Sedrick Van Pran-Granger
    3(25)Christian Mahogany
    3(30)Jordan Travis
    4(19)Nathaniel Watson
    4(30)Isaiah Williams
    5(22)Tommy Eichenberg
    5(24)Dylan Laube
    6(18)Logan Lee
    6(42)Joe Evans
    7(10)Charles Turner III
    7(30)Hayden Rucci

    Drafted Correctly:
    1(20)Amarius Mims
    2(24)Jonathan Brooks
    3(29)Kamren Kinchens
    4(7)Leonard Taylor III
    5(12)Luke McCaffrey
    6(36)Javion Cohen
    7(33)Ryan Watts
    UDFA Davius Richards
     
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  7. Dcat Special Teams

    hold spot

    Drafted Higher:
    1()
    1()
    2()
    2()
    3()
    3()
    4()
    4()
    5()
    5()
    6()
    6()
    7(11)
    7(17)
    UDFA.
    UDFA.
    Completely Ignored.
    Completely Ignored.

    Drafted Lower:
    1()
    1()
    2()
    2()
    3()
    3()
    4()
    4()
    5()
    5()
    6()
    6()
    7()
    7()

    Drafted Correctly:
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    UDFA
     
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  8. Dcat Special Teams

    by drafted "higher" I assume you mean earlier. And "lower" = later.
     
  9. RTTRUTH Legend Manager Colts

    Correct. Higher equals taken sooner in real life than in our mock.
     
    LAOJoe likes this.
  10. Dcat Special Teams

    What is "completely ignored" again? Is it a player that was neither taken in the mock nor as an UDFA, but nonetheless gets drafted this weekend? Sorry. I'm a little dense.
     
    gidion72 likes this.
  11. RTTRUTH Legend Manager Colts

    That is correct
     
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  12. ShanePHallam Special Teams Steelers

    I'm dumb and couldn't figure out how to edit

    Drafted Higher:
    1(22) JC Latham
    1(30) Chop Robinson
    2(2) Tyler Guyton
    2(26) Marshawn Kneeland
    3(1) Xavier Legette
    3(20) Ruke Orhorhoro
    4(21) Jalyx Hunt
    4(28) Mason McCormick
    5(3) Javon Foster
    5(23) Isaiah Adams
    6(13) Edefuan Ulofoshio
    6(27) Layden Robinson
    7(5) Jaylan Ford
    7(17) Erick All
    UDFA. Jordan Jefferson
    UDFA. Jaylen Harrell
    Completely Ignored. Jarrett Kingston
    Completely Ignored. Brady Latham

    Drafted Lower:
    1(9) Michael Penix Jr.
    1(31) Kamari Lassiter
    2(8) Roman Wilson
    2(31) Sedrick Van Pran
    3(7) Jermaine Burton
    3(30) Jordan Travis
    4(30) Isaiah Williams
    4(35) Travis Glover
    5(14) Myles Harden
    5(38) Jalen Coker
    6(42) Joe Evans
    6(39) Michael Hiers
    7(8) Chase Edmonds
    7(20) Geoff Cantin-Arku

    Drafted Correctly:
    1 Byron Murphy II
    2 Jonathon Brooks
    3 Austin Booker
    4 Tanor Bortolini
    5 Decamerion Richardson
    6 Giovanni Manu
    7 Tyler Owens
    UDFA Davius Richard
     
    Last edited: Apr 25, 2024
  13. Dcat Special Teams

    this really isn't fair. All anyone needs to do is put Ike's picks on their lower list and then go from there.
    :cool:
    j/k brother Jets fan.
     
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  14. Willie Head Coach Manager News & Notes Vikings

    Be careful, he might go caveman with his club in hand. ;)
     
    gidion72 likes this.
  15. gidion72 Legend Steelers

    All Campbell’s picks are fallers and all mine are rizers
     
    Campbell likes this.
  16. StlCrtn Franchise Player Steelers

    Drafted Higher:
    1(18) Quinyon Mitchell
    1(21) Taliese Fuaga
    2(2) Tyler Guyton
    2(25) Bo Nix
    3(1) Xavier Legette
    3(25) Christian Mahogany
    4(14) Blake Fisher
    4(31) Mekhi Wingo
    5(5) Gabriel Murphy
    5(28) Josh Newton
    6(11) Joshua Karty
    6(36) Javion Cohen
    7(17) Erick All
    7(36) Trey Taylor
    UDFA Jordan Jefferson
    UDFA Mike Barrett
    Completely Ignored Solomon Byrd
    Completely Ignored Josh Wallace

    Drafted Lower:
    1(9) Michael Penix Jr.
    1(19) Xavier Worthy
    2(6) Ricky Pearsall
    2(27) Cole Bishop
    3(8) Dominick Puni
    3(30) Jordan Travis
    4(22) Jacob Cowing
    4(35) Travis Glover
    5(19) Jared Wiley
    5(24) Dylan Laube
    6(16) Kenny Logan Jr.
    6(24) Frank Gore Jr.
    7(8) Chris Edmonds
    7(24) Will Putnam

    Drafted Correctly:
    1(20) Amarius Mims
    2(24) Jonathon Brooks
    3(22) Andru Phillips
    4(6) Brandon Coleman
    5(18) Javon Solomon
    6(29) Josh Proctor
    7(19) Willie Drew
    UDFA Jabari Small
     
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  17. ovfd55 Draft Eligible

    Drafted Higher:
    1(22)Jc Latham
    1(25)Troy Fautanu
    2(25)Bo Nix
    2(26)Marshawn Kneeland
    3(1)Xavier Leggette
    3(17)Roger Rosengarten
    4(4)Bralen Trice
    4(21)Jaylx Hunt
    5(10)Jarrian Jones
    5(34)Khristian Boyd
    6(2)Hunter Nourzad
    6(26)Layden Robinson
    7(12)Bub Means
    7(17)Erick all
    UDFA.Jowan Briggs
    UDFA.Julian Pearl
    Completely Ignored.Devin Culp
    Completely Ignored.Demani Richardson

    Drafted Lower:
    1(6)Dallas Turner
    1(31)Kamari Lassiter
    2(8)Roman Wilson
    2(11)Trey Benson
    3(30)Jordan Travis
    3(31)Jamari Thrash
    4(10)Audric Estime
    4(20)Frank Crum
    5(32)Emani Bailey
    5(30)Joe Milton
    6(3)Devin Leary
    6(24)Frank Gore Jr
    7(6)Storm Duck
    7(8)Chase Edmonds

    Drafted Correctly:
    1(20)Amarius Mims
    2(24)Jonathan Brooks
    3(6)Kiran Amegadjie
    4(9)Brealon Allen
    5(38)Jalen Coker
    6(30)James Williams
    7(19)Willie Drew
    UDFA Rod Gattison
     
    RTTRUTH likes this.
  18. Dcat Special Teams

    hmmmm I can't seem to edit the post to hold my spot. Not sure why. So here are my choices

    Dcat Entry

    Drafted Higher:
    1(21) Taliese Fuaga
    1(22) J.C. Latham
    2(3) Jackson Powers-Johnson
    2(25) Bo Nix
    3(1) Xavier Legette
    3(34) Brendan Rice
    4(14) Blake Fisher
    4(26) Zack Zinter
    5(29) Nehemiah Pritchett
    5(31) Bucky Irving
    6(6) Sataoa Laumea
    6(32) Walter Rouse
    7(5) Jaylan Ford
    7(12) Bub Means
    UDFA: Zion Tupuola-Fetui, Edge, Washington
    UDFA: Marcus Harris, DT, Auburn

    Completely Ignored: Brevyn Spann-Ford, TE, Minnesota
    Completely Ignored: Jaxon Janke, WR, S. Dak. St.

    Drafted Lower:
    1(19) Xavier Worthy
    1(27) Ladd McConkey
    2(1) Payton Wilson
    2(27) Cole Bishop
    3(19) Trevin Wallace
    3(33) Fabien Lovett
    4(20) Frank Crum
    4(27) Jordan Magee
    5(14) Myles Harden
    5(21) Tanner McLachlan
    6(13) Edefuan Ulofoshio
    6(15) Aaron Casey
    7(6) Storm Duck
    7(8) Chris Edmonds

    Drafted Correctly:
    1(20) Amarius Mims
    2(14) Tyler Nubin
    3(8) Dominic Puni
    4(7) Leonard Taylor III
    5(39) Ainias Smith
    6(33) Tyrice Knight
    7(31) Steele Chambers
    UDFA: Sundiata Anderson
     
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  19. gidion72 Legend Steelers

    Skill issue
     
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  20. LAOJoe Assistant Coach Manager Patreon Silver Maple Leafs Eagles

    I'll give everyone until a bit before the draft starts. I'd rather people get them in than give up because of the deadline.
     
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